HOU 111-103 LAC, November 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat LAC 111-103, and HOU's shots were worth 121.4 points to LAC's 119.1.

HOU 111-103 LAC, November 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HOU9799108.412/1713.0111121.4
LAC9690106.213/1612.8103119.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.