POR 89-134 MEM, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat POR 134-89, but POR's shots were worth 131.2 points to MEM's 116.0.

POR 89-134 MEM, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	100	72	115.3	17/21	15.9	89	131.2
MEM	85	110	94.6	24/28	21.4	134	116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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