PHX 118-127 SAC, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat PHX 127-118, but PHX's shots were worth 127.3 points to SAC's 122.9.

PHX 118-127 SAC, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	105	106	115.6	12/15	11.7	118	127.3
SAC	102	111	107.7	16/19	15.3	127	122.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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