DEN 122-120 DAL, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat DAL 122-120, and DEN's shots were worth 118.8 points to DAL's 112.6.

DEN 122-120 DAL, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	89	104	97.9	18/26	20.9	122	118.8
DAL	90	106	97.9	14/19	14.7	120	112.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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