OKC 116-127 GSW, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat OKC 127-116, but OKC's shots were worth 125.8 points to GSW's 120.8.

OKC 116-127 GSW, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	94	95	104.0	21/26	21.8	116	125.8
GSW	89	111	102.9	16/23	17.9	127	120.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.