MIN 94-95 MIA, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat MIN 95-94, but MIN's shots were worth 112.0 points to MIA's 100.7.

MIN 94-95 MIA, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN8883101.811/1310.294112.0
MIA777983.216/2217.695100.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.