No. MIA beat MIN 95-94, but MIN's shots were worth 112.0 points to MIA's 100.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 88 | 83 | 101.8 | 11/13 | 10.2 | 94 | 112.0 |
| MIA | 77 | 79 | 83.2 | 16/22 | 17.6 | 95 | 100.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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