PHI 107-105 CHA, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat CHA 107-105, but CHA's shots were worth 120.1 points to PHI's 108.9.

PHI 107-105 CHA, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	84	87	89.2	20/26	19.7	107	108.9
CHA	95	86	102.4	19/22	17.7	105	120.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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