LAL 116-106 PHI, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat PHI 116-106, but PHI's shots were worth 119.4 points to LAL's 104.3.

LAL 116-106 PHI, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	85	104	93.5	12/14	10.8	116	104.3
PHI	96	91	102.1	15/23	17.3	106	119.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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