MIN 127-102 POR, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat POR 127-102, and MIN's shots were worth 119.8 points to POR's 116.5.

MIN 127-102 POR, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN97116108.611/1411.2127119.8
POR918497.818/2418.7102116.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.