OKC 126-107 HOU, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat HOU 126-107, and OKC's shots were worth 114.0 points to HOU's 112.5.

OKC 126-107 HOU, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC9010695.420/2318.6126114.0
HOU908993.718/2618.8107112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.