MEM 128-104 WAS, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat WAS 128-104, but WAS's shots were worth 128.6 points to MEM's 128.1.

MEM 128-104 WAS, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	97	106	109.1	22/25	19.1	128	128.1
WAS	93	85	110.1	19/23	18.5	104	128.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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