DAL 113-114 PHX, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat DAL 114-113, and PHX's shots were worth 108.7 points to DAL's 103.4.

DAL 113-114 PHX, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL809385.320/2218.1113103.4
PHX8610194.413/1814.2114108.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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