CLE 136-117 GSW, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat GSW 136-117, but GSW's shots were worth 125.0 points to CLE's 122.7.

CLE 136-117 GSW, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	85	112	101.0	24/28	21.7	136	122.7
GSW	98	107	114.9	10/14	10.1	117	125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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