DET 122-121 ATL, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat ATL 122-121, but ATL's shots were worth 118.4 points to DET's 107.7.

DET 122-121 ATL, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	86	101	83.3	21/31	24.5	122	107.7
ATL	97	103	100.8	18/23	17.5	121	118.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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