SAS 118-105 POR, November 7, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat POR 118-105, but POR's shots were worth 118.2 points to SAS's 111.7.

SAS 118-105 POR, November 7, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	82	104	97.6	14/18	14.1	118	111.7
POR	86	91	100.4	14/22	17.8	105	118.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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