MIL 123-100 UTA, November 7, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat UTA 123-100, and MIL's shots were worth 121.8 points to UTA's 98.2.

MIL 123-100 UTA, November 7, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	84	101	99.3	22/30	22.5	123	121.8
UTA	77	83	83.6	17/18	14.6	100	98.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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