DEN 124-122 OKC, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat OKC 124-122, but OKC's shots were worth 133.7 points to DEN's 125.1.

DEN 124-122 OKC, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	89	100	100.3	24/33	24.8	124	125.1
OKC	100	104	114.8	18/23	19.0	122	133.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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