MEM 131-114 LAL, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat LAL 131-114, but LAL's shots were worth 122.7 points to MEM's 120.3.

MEM 131-114 LAL, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	93	113	102.5	18/23	17.8	131	120.3
LAL	93	97	106.4	17/21	16.4	114	122.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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