HOU 127-100 SAS, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat SAS 127-100, and HOU's shots were worth 113.4 points to SAS's 95.9.

HOU 127-100 SAS, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	96	118	101.9	9/15	11.5	127	113.4
SAS	83	88	83.2	12/16	12.7	100	95.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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