IND 118-111 ORL, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat ORL 118-111, but ORL's shots were worth 111.6 points to IND's 98.7.

IND 118-111 ORL, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	76	94	78.0	24/26	20.8	118	98.7
ORL	82	91	91.0	20/26	20.6	111	111.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.