CHA 108-107 DET, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat DET 108-107, but DET's shots were worth 113.6 points to CHA's 110.7.

CHA 108-107 DET, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA909297.316/1613.3108110.7
DET94102106.55/97.1107113.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.