DAL 127-134 IND, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat DAL 134-127, and IND's shots were worth 121.0 points to DAL's 117.4.

DAL 127-134 IND, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	89	107	97.9	20/25	19.5	127	117.4
IND	95	121	105.2	13/20	15.9	134	121.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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