NOP 100-118 POR, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat NOP 118-100, and POR's shots were worth 115.7 points to NOP's 98.3.

NOP 100-118 POR, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP848685.814/1612.510098.3
POR8410297.616/2418.0118115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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