HOU 109-97 NYK, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat NYK 109-97, but NYK's shots were worth 103.1 points to HOU's 102.2.

HOU 109-97 NYK, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	88	94	89.2	15/18	13.0	109	102.2
NYK	88	79	86.1	18/21	17.0	97	103.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.