MIA 110-111 SAC, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat MIA 111-110, but MIA's shots were worth 106.8 points to SAC's 95.1.

MIA 110-111 SAC, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	85	89	82.5	21/30	24.3	110	106.8
SAC	86	98	82.8	13/15	12.3	111	95.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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