BKN 106-104 MEM, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat MEM 106-104, but MEM's shots were worth 112.7 points to BKN's 106.8.

BKN 106-104 MEM, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	84	93	92.5	13/18	14.3	106	106.8
MEM	91	94	102.8	10/13	9.9	104	112.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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