DAL 108-85 ORL, November 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat ORL 108-85, but ORL's shots were worth 116.5 points to DAL's 109.7.

DAL 108-85 ORL, November 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	85	94	91.3	14/23	18.4	108	109.7
ORL	93	70	101.7	15/19	14.8	85	116.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.