NOP 111-126 ATL, November 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat NOP 126-111, but NOP's shots were worth 111.1 points to ATL's 108.1.

NOP 111-126 ATL, November 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	90	94	95.4	17/20	15.7	111	111.1
ATL	88	115	98.8	11/12	9.3	126	108.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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