PHX 103-97 POR, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat POR 103-97, but POR's shots were worth 121.4 points to PHX's 113.6.

PHX 103-97 POR, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	93	87	95.2	16/22	18.4	103	113.6
POR	111	88	113.1	9/11	8.3	97	121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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