DEN 129-103 UTA, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat UTA 129-103, and DEN's shots were worth 123.2 points to UTA's 104.1.

DEN 129-103 UTA, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	99	112	106.2	17/23	17.0	129	123.2
UTA	77	77	81.4	26/31	22.7	103	104.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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