WAS 98-118 MIA, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat WAS 118-98, and MIA's shots were worth 126.2 points to WAS's 113.0.

WAS 98-118 MIA, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	91	83	96.5	15/21	16.5	98	113.0
MIA	102	101	106.5	17/24	19.8	118	126.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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