SAS 113-103 MIN, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat MIN 113-103, but MIN's shots were worth 114.4 points to SAS's 111.4.

SAS 113-103 MIN, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	83	99	98.1	14/17	13.3	113	111.4
MIN	82	89	98.9	14/20	15.4	103	114.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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