MIL 113-114 CLE, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIL 114-113, and CLE's shots were worth 113.9 points to MIL's 106.5.

MIL 113-114 CLE, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	89	104	94.9	9/15	11.6	113	106.5
CLE	91	103	102.3	11/15	11.6	114	113.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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