HOU 121-127 GSW, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat HOU 127-121, but HOU's shots were worth 136.6 points to GSW's 116.1.

HOU 121-127 GSW, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	107	103	118.5	18/24	18.1	121	136.6
GSW	78	95	79.9	32/50	36.3	127	116.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.