PHI 107-124 MEM, November 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat PHI 124-107, and MEM's shots were worth 116.6 points to PHI's 116.3.

PHI 107-124 MEM, November 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI8991101.616/2014.7107116.3
MEM87108100.216/2116.4124116.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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