MIN 119-116 DEN, November 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DEN 119-116, but DEN's shots were worth 126.4 points to MIN's 110.2.

MIN 119-116 DEN, November 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	83	104	96.1	15/18	14.1	119	110.2
DEN	92	93	103.5	23/29	22.9	116	126.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.