NOP 125-118 IND, November 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat IND 125-118, and NOP's shots were worth 129.0 points to IND's 115.4.

NOP 125-118 IND, November 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP101110114.715/1914.3125129.0
IND89108104.810/1310.6118115.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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