CLE 120-109 ORL, November 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat ORL 120-109, but ORL's shots were worth 123.6 points to CLE's 114.0.

CLE 120-109 ORL, November 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	87	103	98.1	17/20	15.8	120	114.0
ORL	90	93	104.1	16/24	19.5	109	123.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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