LAC 119-125 PHX, October 31, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAC 125-119, but LAC's shots were worth 116.9 points to PHX's 110.8.

LAC 119-125 PHX, October 31, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	93	102	100.2	17/21	16.6	119	116.9
PHX	82	102	88.0	23/28	22.8	125	110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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