DAL 102-108 HOU, October 31, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat DAL 108-102, and HOU's shots were worth 128.6 points to DAL's 108.1.

DAL 102-108 HOU, October 31, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	85	88	92.6	14/20	15.6	102	108.1
HOU	97	88	108.1	20/27	20.4	108	128.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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