LAC 105-106 POR, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat LAC 106-105, but LAC's shots were worth 110.6 points to POR's 108.3.

LAC 105-106 POR, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	90	95	96.9	10/18	13.7	105	110.6
POR	92	96	98.8	10/12	9.5	106	108.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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