GSW 104-89 NOP, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat NOP 104-89, but NOP's shots were worth 105.1 points to GSW's 102.3.

GSW 104-89 NOP, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	87	95	93.1	9/13	9.3	104	102.3
NOP	90	77	90.2	12/20	14.9	89	105.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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