OKC 105-93 SAS, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat SAS 105-93, but SAS's shots were worth 104.6 points to OKC's 104.0.

OKC 105-93 SAS, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	89	99	97.5	6/8	6.5	105	104.0
SAS	85	82	94.5	11/13	10.0	93	104.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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