WAS 133-120 ATL, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. WAS beat ATL 133-120, and WAS's shots were worth 123.6 points to ATL's 117.7.

WAS 133-120 ATL, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS89110103.223/2520.4133123.6
ATL95102101.318/2116.5120117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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