IND 135-132 BOS, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat BOS 135-132, but BOS's shots were worth 138.2 points to IND's 126.0.

IND 135-132 BOS, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	104	115	107.1	20/24	18.9	135	126.0
BOS	109	107	113.6	25/31	24.5	132	138.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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