CHA 138-133 TOR, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat TOR 138-133, but TOR's shots were worth 127.3 points to CHA's 118.4.

CHA 138-133 TOR, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	94	118	98.9	20/25	19.5	138	118.4
TOR	91	113	105.3	20/30	22.0	133	127.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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