SAC 111-98 POR, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat POR 111-98, but POR's shots were worth 106.8 points to SAC's 102.2.

SAC 111-98 POR, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	81	88	81.7	23/25	20.5	111	102.2
POR	83	74	83.8	24/30	23.0	98	106.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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