PHX 109-105 LAL, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAL 109-105, but LAL's shots were worth 104.3 points to PHX's 100.4.

PHX 109-105 LAL, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	87	91	83.7	18/20	16.7	109	100.4
LAL	94	92	89.9	13/18	14.4	105	104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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