DAL 110-102 UTA, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat UTA 110-102, but UTA's shots were worth 129.7 points to DAL's 121.6.

DAL 110-102 UTA, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	95	97	107.9	13/17	13.7	110	121.6
UTA	92	78	106.4	24/29	23.3	102	129.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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