SAS 101-106 HOU, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat SAS 106-101, but SAS's shots were worth 120.7 points to HOU's 110.1.

SAS 101-106 HOU, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	87	84	104.2	17/21	16.6	101	120.7
HOU	85	85	91.5	21/24	18.6	106	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.